Reflections on the Future of Capitalism: The Scavenger Hunt

Reflections on the Future of Capitalism: The Scavenger Hunt

(A version of this article was published in Blogcritics in September, 2011)

I

Once upon a time, when terms such as “economic recession” or “business cycle” weren’t part of our everyday lexicon, the banking industry represented the pinnacle of commercial activity – the invention of a genius, no less. 

bill of exchange, otherwise known as a bank draft or cheque, has an illustrious history dating back to ancient Rome. During the Harun al-Rashid era, a bank draft written in Damascus for two thousand miles away would reach its destination in two days’ time thanks to an elaborate system of couriers. And Muslim businessmen could routinely cash their cheques drawn on Baghdad in China.

The Italian city-states, Florence, Venice, and Genoa, took banking to another level, endowing it with the modern-day connotation and meaning. Finance and credit would become synonymous with banking, the lifeblood of all industry and commerce, its nerve center. It’s only through finance and credit that the Italian city-states became economic powerhouses through shipbuilding, seafaring, and commercial ventures. And it was no different with the Hanseatic League or the would-be colonial powers during the Age of Exploration.

The Colonial era, marked by mercantilism, saw a further extension of finance and credit, not to mention some of its innovative uses for Empire-building via the installation of such entities as the East India Trading Company as joint ventures. And while Christian missions served the Spanish and the Portuguese as the main instrument of conquest, for the British, not to mention the Germans and the French, trade was the vehicle of choice. 

And we’re all familiar, of course, with a rather euphemistic (though not altogether inaccurate) portrayal in Mary Poppins of the British banking system, run with precision, as the mainstay of the burgeoning empire.

In short, credit and finance, which banking afforded, were the necessary lubricants to keep a sound economy sounder still. Aside from providing it with a stable foundation, it allowed for its global outreach. In a way, banking and finance, because of their necessarily international character, represented the first push towards globalization, an aspect in the absence of which globalization wouldn’t be possible. 

To wit, while trade provided the impetus and manifested itself in the form of transactions, the (international) banking system was the glue that held otherwise disparate economies as part of a unitary global network. More succinctly, perhaps, if trading was a process, the banking system was the medium. 

It was so in the past, and it’s no different today.

II

Fast forward to the present, marked by what certainly promises to be a systemic economic crisis of near-global proportions. Chronic unemployment, brought about by a decimated industrial sector and increased productivity: reduced demand for goods and services due to loss of income and a rapidly shrinking taxpayers’ base; the pattern of endless borrowing and ever-growing sovereign debt (diluted in spurts by the policy of “quantitative easing”); austerity measures designed to cut government spending to make up for the loss of revenue — these are but some of the symptoms of an economy which, having long ceased being anchored in fundamentals, is running on fumes. And it’s a pervasive condition, characteristic not only of the US economy but of all post-industrial West economies; moreover, it’s likely to spread.

A few years back, when the economic picture was anything but gloomy, the UE was formed, along with Eurozone, in hopes of forging a formidable coalition to offset such economic powerhouses as the US and the rapidly growing economies of China and India. The NAFTA agreement soon followed, and the world was bracing itself for a healthy dose of competition in the course of which, according to script, it was a win-win.

What got lost in the translation was that the economy and strictly economic considerations were in the driver’s seat and provided the impetus behind this modern push towards globalization. In the UE case, the political concerns followed the economic ones as a mere formality, ratifying the agreement by endowing it with political reality.

What a difference a few years make (given that the UE faces the eventuality of an imminent breakup)?

The precipitating event is the possible default of Greece on its sovereign debt. Although prominent economists, Nouriel Roubini, for one, suggest it’s the lesser of all evils, there may be repercussions. As this NPR report makes it abundantly clear, the likelihood is that the equally stressed UE members, Spain and Portugal, most notably, will follow suit. And from thence, it may result in a domino effect, everybody running for cover. 

The UE, the house that Jack built, could well prove to be a house of cards!

Which brings us to a radical reappraisal of the banking industry when shit hits the fan. When the economy ceases to abide by fundamentals, the financial sector becomes a force all its own, a loose cannon, as it were. No longer able to make money the old-fashioned way, by earning it, it becomes parasitic upon it by running it further and further to the ground. And if that’s not a sign of capitalism’s ultimate decay, I wouldn’t know what is.

Rats abandoning a sinking ship used to be an apt metaphor to envisage situations such as these. I’m afraid, however, that our once-respected banking industry had raised it a notch further.

And so, while at it, why not just sell the remainder for scrap?

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